So the Facebook IPO came and went on Friday, and the stock closed 25
cents higher than what it opened at $42.00. Buying IPO's means you are
taking ownership of a piece of a business which is being sold to you by
the original founders, early investors, and investment banks whose job
it is to sell the shares. Some of the sellers of Facebook include
Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, early Paypal and Ebay investor Peter
Thiel, and the earliest founders of Facebook. In the market, there is a
buyer for each seller whenever a transaction occurs. So, a thinking
person asks, why am I buying this company at this price, and what am I
getting for my dollars?
Also, who is selling the stock and what might
they know about the business that I don't? On the day, there were over
570 millions shares traded of Facebook stock. Usually, it is very
interesting to see where IPO's trade 3,6, 9, and 12 months after it goes
public. Google had a very successful IPO, one which I thought was
vastly overpriced. Of course, Google acquired a bunch of businesses
like Youtube which were very smart. Not saying Mr. Zuckerberg's
creation won't be as successful, just that time will tell on how things
play out.
The
stock market continues to sell off because of fears about Europe. The
sell off reminds me of 2008 in that it is a slow motion train wreck
which builds during each day, and passing week. Ultimately, there is a
climactic event like Lehman crashing. In this case, it may be Greece or
other countries leaving the European Union, and then the bank runs
which follow. If you are an owner of stocks, it is a time when your
holdings lose market value. However, in looking back on 2008, it also
is a time when you get presented with opportunities to buy companies at
prices which you would have never thought possible. Are we there yet?
Depends on how you see things and what companies you are looking at.
Saw an article in today's NY Times about how selection of companies does
not matter. Maybe not, but Warren Buffett might not agree with that
premise, and he has done pretty well.
Steve Nash, the great NBA
player, has gotten into the investment world through venture capital and
angel investing. Great player, and hope he does well-http://www.forbes.com/sites/kurtbadenhausen/2012/05/16/steve-nash-brings-his-nba-skills-to-the-boardroom/
A nice editorial written by a proponent of capitalism of what is wrong with California and how to fix it-http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-16/yes-there-s-a-case-for-staying-in-california.html
Interesting
viewpoint on treasury bonds, which I think are the worst investment
anyone could ever make today. Time will tell but right now, seems like I
have been wrong for three years-http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303360504577412553217790184.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTTopStories
Finally, a very good article summarizing how serious the Greek situation is-http://seekingalpha.com/article/602951-thoughts-from-the-front-line-dr-frankenstein-s-europe
Y
H & C Investments, Yale Bock, and the family of Yale Bock own
positions in securities mentioned in the blog post. Investing in stocks
can lead to the complete loss of your capital.
As
always, on any company mentioned here, past performance is not a
guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk of losses on
invested capital. One should research any investment and make sure it is
suitable with your objectives, risk tolerance, risk profile liquidity
considerations, tax situation, and anything else pertinent to your
financial situation. Also, the CFA credential in no way implies
investment returns will be superior for any charterholder.
Here are some Seeking Alpha articles about specific stocks written by Yale Bock.
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